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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers30%103114
16Nuggets70%111102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
40
28
23
5
6
2
1
1
1
0
5
6-8
75%
7-14
4-10
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
40
35
17
10
2
2
2
1
3
4
6
2-3
67%
6-11
7-13
55%
51%
1-6
17%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
35
31
16
9
6
2
2
0
5
3
6
6-8
75%
5-15
5-10
33%
45%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.7
32
32
13
8
4
2
1
1
1
1
7
3-4
75%
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
2-4
50%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.7
17
24
11
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
48%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
25
24
12
4
0
1
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.7
20
23
7
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-3
0%
2-3
4-8
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
16
15
13
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
1-1
100%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
8
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.5
8
16
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
6
0
1-2
50%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 23.4
3
0
0-1
48%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.7
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.4
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
41
36
15
6
11
1
1
1
4
1
5
6-7
86%
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
1-5
20%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
37
21
14
4
6
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
6-11
1-3
55%
44%
0-6
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.3
32
33
19
11
0
1
1
2
1
4
7
5-9
56%
7-14
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
31
36
16
7
2
3
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
51%
4-7
57%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
22
15
12
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
2
0-3
0%
6-9
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
22
15
8
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
14
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
0-1
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
13
15
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
10
21
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
8
9
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.1
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
4
19
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
13
0
1-3
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.