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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Knicks18%93105
2Spurs82%106101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
39
14
27
12
4
1
0
1
3
1
11
5-5
100%
8-16
3-6
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
32
26
10
2
7
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 23.5
31
23
27
6
1
3
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
41%
6-8
75%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.2
22
24
10
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 31.3
22
29
4
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
58%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
29
38
4
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
24
23
11
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
3-4
75%
4-6
4-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
15
15
5
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 36.0
14
15
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
12
29
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 34.1
3
0
0-1
43%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.5
3
0
0-1
41%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 25.2
1
0
0-0
48%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 29.5
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
34
30
12
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-11
6-12
36%
53%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
33
18
32
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
48%
6-9
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
32
28
9
7
2
0
1
2
1
1
6
3-4
75%
3-8
6-11
38%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
28
27
8
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
3
5-8
63%
0-2
4-7
0%
58%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
19
22
6
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
28
24
11
2
12
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
1-6
17%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
19
20
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-5
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
14
17
8
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
13
7
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
3-5
60%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
11
21
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
58%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
10
12
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
7
0
1-2
53%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
6
0
1-1
50%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.