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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
January 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Grizzlies40%9699
12Suns60%10091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
38.4
33.1
20
50%
15
0
0
1
1
3
5
10
0-0
-
10-20
7-15
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
30.4
34.0
11
45%
4
6
0
2
1
6
0
4
3-3
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
20.3
25.2
10
50%
9
0
0
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.8
15.3
19.7
2
20%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
12.6
29.3
2
30%
0
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-3
0%
1-2
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
32.8
18.7
11
66%
7
4
0
0
0
0
1
6
3-3
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
31.1
19.9
17
67%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
3-6
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
27.7
21.0
16
70%
11
2
2
1
0
0
4
7
0-1
0%
8-11
3-6
73%
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
21.9
23.2
6
43%
6
1
1
1
2
4
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.6
9.6
9.2
4
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
3.2
0
0-1
41%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.5
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
37.9
32.4
33
64%
3
7
3
1
0
4
1
2
5-9
56%
11-16
5-9
69%
52%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.6
35.0
22.6
14
50%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
4-10
40%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.3
34.6
23.8
8
50%
12
0
1
1
3
1
2
10
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.7
32.4
26.4
12
45%
5
4
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.9
32.1
25.3
9
45%
2
3
4
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
1-7
14%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.3
24.9
24.7
10
45%
1
0
2
1
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
19.6
6.3
3
23%
6
2
0
0
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
15.6
21.5
2
14%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-5
40%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.4
5.2
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.3
2.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.1
28.9
2
4-8
51%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 26.4
3.4
0
0-1
55%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.5
1.8
0
0-0
53%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.