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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bobcats
104
10Trail Blazers
134
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
31
31
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-3
33%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.7
29
35
6
3
3
3
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.0
29
32
19
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
9-17
7-16
53%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.8
27
29
7
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
24
33
16
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
4-8
5-12
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
29
21
14
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
8-10
80%
3-8
3-7
38%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
24
18
20
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
6-7
86%
4-5
2-3
80%
45%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.3
19
15
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.2
17
15
5
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.2
7
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
39%
2-5
40%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.9
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
6
0
1-2
41%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.6
6
0
1-1
45%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.3
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.5
29
38
24
0
7
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
6-6
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
28
37
10
15
3
0
1
0
0
2
13
0-0
-
5-12
10-20
42%
51%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.1
28
37
8
7
7
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
53%
2-3
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
27
36
25
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
4-5
80%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
5-6
83%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.8
26
31
14
5
0
2
1
1
3
3
2
0-1
0%
7-10
4-7
70%
54%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.0
21
23
15
0
10
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
3-5
60%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.8
20
7
8
10
2
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.1
16
10
6
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.9
13
12
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.8
9
3
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.0
9
2
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
2-2
100%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.7
7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.6
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.3
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.