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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
January 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors46%98101
17Wizards54%9988
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
36.0
36.1
20
59%
3
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
6-7
86%
7-14
6-14
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.8
35.3
33.2
19
68%
5
11
3
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
4-4
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
34.2
29.8
17
71%
7
2
0
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
7-10
4-7
70%
58%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.9
31.8
31.0
14
50%
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
4-8
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
29.1
31.8
7
60%
7
0
0
0
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
3-5
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.1
28.2
23.5
4
34%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
22.1
19.1
18
90%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
50%
2-3
67%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.0
12.8
14.9
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.6
10.6
1.7
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
2.2
0
0-0
42%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
1.4
0
0-0
40%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.2
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
31.7
26.7
8
57%
13
2
2
1
0
2
5
8
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
30.5
36.9
11
34%
2
6
2
2
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-12
6-13
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.5
28.3
27.2
12
38%
5
5
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-13
4-8
46%
43%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
22.1
26.1
10
51%
5
0
0
0
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
21.1
31.0
6
100%
1
1
0
2
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
30.8
22.9
12
68%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.3
20.2
23.2
15
60%
4
0
0
1
1
4
1
3
7-8
88%
4-9
4-7
44%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.7
17.5
9.4
2
25%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.6
14.3
11.7
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.1
12.9
11.3
4
33%
5
0
0
0
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
9.0
5.7
4
67%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.1
1.5
5.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
1.8
0
0-0
38%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.