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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies41%98108
17Nuggets59%101111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
38
35
25
13
2
0
1
0
1
5
8
5-7
71%
10-18
7-16
56%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
37
21
10
4
2
3
1
0
4
1
3
4-6
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
36
32
23
0
8
4
2
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.8
29
18
13
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
22
23
11
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
4
3-4
75%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
19
24
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
16
26
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.6
15
10
11
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
13
22
4
3
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
11
25
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
5
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
3
0
0-1
42%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.5
3
0
0-1
42%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
37
37
18
4
12
3
1
1
5
1
3
5-6
83%
5-8
5-9
63%
50%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
34
26
13
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
2-3
67%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
31
33
8
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
2-7
29%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
29
18
16
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
56%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.3
23
32
7
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-9
6-11
33%
54%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
24
17
16
7
1
0
0
2
1
3
4
2-2
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
53%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
23
14
15
2
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
21
8
12
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
20
18
6
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
13
0
1-3
48%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
9
0
1-2
49%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
9
0
1-2
48%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.1
6
0
1-2
49%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.