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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pelicans22%9082
4Pacers78%10199
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
39
30
21
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
3-5
60%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.8
34
35
10
8
0
1
1
3
2
0
8
2-4
50%
4-12
7-13
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
34
30
8
1
7
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-2
0%
4-8
4-10
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.7
32
10
17
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
4
7-10
70%
5-7
1-3
71%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
28
24
8
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
26
28
12
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
3-8
5-11
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
21
12
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
14
15
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
1-3
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
9
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
9
0
1-2
43%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
9
0
1-2
38%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
37
35
24
10
5
2
2
0
1
3
7
6-7
86%
6-15
5-9
40%
51%
2-9
22%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
36
34
19
6
4
1
1
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
8-11
4-8
73%
54%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.1
34
28
6
8
2
0
0
5
3
3
5
2-4
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.7
31
31
10
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
2-6
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
29
29
8
4
5
1
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
21
21
13
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.7
17
18
8
9
0
0
0
0
4
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
17
16
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.2
14
18
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-1
100%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
1
0
0-0
54%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.