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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
January 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder47%104115
9Timberwolves53%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
42.9
36.1
48
64%
7
7
2
1
1
3
0
7
12-13
92%
12-23
7-13
52%
52%
4-9
44%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
32.3
31.4
12
46%
3
0
2
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
6-11
55%
54%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.7
23.8
27.7
10
64%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
21.3
28.0
5
36%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.1
20.5
21.2
0
0%
7
2
0
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
26.8
21.1
9
49%
8
3
2
1
0
2
2
6
5-5
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
24.6
19.0
13
74%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
3-6
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
22.5
12.2
8
67%
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
15.5
14.5
10
85%
9
0
0
0
2
2
4
5
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
49%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
9.9
19.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2.2
0
0-0
53%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.3
43.4
35.1
30
62%
14
5
2
1
1
7
2
12
3-7
43%
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.8
40.1
27.2
15
48%
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
5-10
2-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.9
39.8
30.1
17
55%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-3
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.0
38.1
34.5
31
61%
11
0
0
1
0
0
5
6
5-8
63%
13-22
7-14
59%
52%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
33.8
30.1
13
42%
4
10
5
2
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
4-11
2-6
36%
38%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
14.7
19.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
14.2
18.0
5
46%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.1
8.6
14.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.8
7.3
5.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
15.5
1
1-3
45%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.1
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.0
1.9
0
0-0
48%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.2
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.0
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.