Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Nuggets	54%	106	137	126.9	108	105.3
	25	Lakers	46%	105	115	107.5	107	109.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 26	41.3	20	50%	4	12	1	1	4	1	1	3	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	2-7	29%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 30	29.0	14	70%	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 24	26.5	17	57%	13	1	2	2	0	3	6	7	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	25.9	17	77%	1	1	2	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
JJ Hickson C · 6'9" 242 · 25	22.1	6	43%	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	4	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21	25.4	12	60%	7	3	0	0	3	2	0	7	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	21.1	20	83%	7	1	2	2	0	5	2	5	4-5	80%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 26	21.1	4	29%	11	6	1	2	4	4	3	8	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	19.9	21	81%	5	5	3	0	0	2	3	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	2.6	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 21	2.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	\| NWT - Personal.
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	61%	58	32	12	8	15	0	17	41	19-24	79%	41-70	59%	12-29	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 26	41.3	20	50%	4	12	1	1	4	1	1	3	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	2-7	29%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 30	29.0	14	70%	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 24	26.5	17	57%	13	1	2	2	0	3	6	7	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	25.9	17	77%	1	1	2	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
JJ Hickson C · 6'9" 242 · 25	22.1	6	43%	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	4	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21	25.4	12	60%	7	3	0	0	3	2	0	7	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	21.1	20	83%	7	1	2	2	0	5	2	5	4-5	80%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 26	21.1	4	29%	11	6	1	2	4	4	3	8	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	19.9	21	81%	5	5	3	0	0	2	3	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	2.6	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 21	2.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	\| NWT - Personal.
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	61%	58	32	12	8	15	0	17	41	19-24	79%	41-70	59%	12-29	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kendall Marshall G · 6'4" 200 · 22	38.5	9	41%	6	17	2	0	3	3	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 34	36.9	25	50%	10	5	1	3	4	2	5	5	5-6	83%	10-22	45%	0-0	-
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 26	32.9	23	64%	4	1	2	0	3	2	0	4	7-7	100%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 25	26.9	15	94%	5	0	2	0	1	2	1	4	3-5	60%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 26	26.4	2	20%	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29	36.1	21	66%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 23	18.9	6	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Hill F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	12.0	9	64%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	5-7	71%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 28	11.4	5	31%	5	0	0	1	1	3	0	5	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 27	\| DND - Left hamstring tear.
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23	\| DND - Right knee bone bruise.
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 34	\| DND - Torn ulnar collateral ligament.
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kobe Bryant #24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Steve Nash #10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 40	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	38	26	8	5	15	0	9	29	28-36	78%	39-68	57%	3-21	14%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.22 61.2%

LAL

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

23

38

61%

LAL

16

25

64%

Midrange

DEN

18

32

56%

LAL

23

43

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

29

41%

62%

LAL

3

4.5

21

14%

21%

Free Throws

DEN

19

24

79%

LAL

28

36

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Robinson	21	81%	10.5 / 13
T. Lawson	20	50%	10.0 / 20
T. Mozgov	20	83%	10.0 / 12
K. Faried	17	57%	8.5 / 15
W. Chandler	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Foye	14	70%	7.0 / 10
E. Fournier	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Hickson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Arthur	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Randolph	4	100%	2.0 / 2
Q. Miller	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Hamilton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Gasol	25	50%	12.5 / 25
J. Meeks	23	64%	11.5 / 18
N. Young	21	66%	10.5 / 16
R. Sacre	15	94%	7.5 / 8
K. Marshall	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Hill	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Kelly	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Williams	5	31%	2.5 / 8
W. Johnson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 106.3 23 104.2	DEN 126.9 +19.4 LAL 107.5
Pace	3 97.8 1 98.8	DEN 105.3 LAL 109.8 +4.5
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.2 29 14.2	DEN 13.7 LAL 13.1 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 49.7% 13 50.5%	DEN 59.6% +10.7% LAL 48.9%
TO %	28 15.7% 14 15.0%	DEN 12.0% −0.5% LAL 12.5%
ORB %	5 27.5% 30 20.3%	DEN 37.0% +19.0% LAL 18.0%
FTrt	7 30.6 22 26.3	DEN 24.2 LAL 40.4 +16.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 58.4% 3 63.9%	DEN 60.4% LAL 61.9% +1.5%
STL %	20 7.6% 23 7.6%	DEN 11.1% +3.6% LAL 7.5%
BLK %	4 8.6% 10 8.1%	DEN 11.8% +4.7% LAL 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 52.2% 12 53.2%	DEN 61.2% +7.0% LAL 54.2%
Rim FG%	19 57.6% 13 58.2%	DEN 60.5% LAL 64.0% +3.5%
Mid FG%	28 36.2% 20 38.5%	DEN 56.3% +2.8% LAL 53.5%
3P %	15 35.8% 3 38.1%	DEN 41.4% +27.1% LAL 14.3%
FT %	27 72.6% 17 75.7%	DEN 79.2% +1.4% LAL 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 40.2% 23 33.5%	DEN 38.4% +10.3% LAL 28.1%
Mid Att. %	3 32.0% 12 37.4%	DEN 32.3% −16.0% LAL 48.3%
3P Att. %	12 27.8% 7 29.1%	DEN 29.3% +5.7% LAL 23.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	137	115
Rebounds	58	38
Assists	32	26
Steals	12	8
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (0)	29 (0)
Field Goals	53-99	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	23-38	16-25
Midrange FG	18-32	23-43
2-Point FG	41-70	39-68
3-Point FG	12-29	3-21
Free Throws	19-24	28-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg