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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Nuggets
137
20Lakers
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
41
36
20
4
12
1
1
1
4
1
3
4-4
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
2-7
29%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
29
29
14
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
42%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
27
22
17
13
1
2
1
2
0
6
7
3-4
75%
7-13
4-7
54%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
26
32
17
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
49%
3-6
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.3
22
28
6
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
5-10
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
25
14
12
7
3
0
0
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
2-3
67%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
21
20
20
7
1
2
0
2
0
2
5
4-5
80%
8-9
3-6
89%
53%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
21
19
4
11
6
1
1
2
4
3
8
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
20
17
21
5
5
3
1
0
0
3
2
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
3
6
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.1
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
7
0
1-2
47%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
39
27
9
6
17
2
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.5
37
30
25
10
5
1
0
3
4
5
5
5-6
83%
10-22
6-13
45%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
33
35
23
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
7-7
100%
8-12
3-5
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.6
27
19
15
5
0
2
0
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
6-6
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
26
18
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.6
36
34
21
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
46%
1-3
33%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
19
14
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.4
12
15
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
5-7
71%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.9
11
23
5
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-6
17%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.1
14
1
2-3
46%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.9
9
0
0-1
42%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
9
0
1-2
45%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.7
7
0
1-3
48%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.4
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.