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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
January 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Raptors29%9279
3Pacers71%9986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
37.2
36.1
28
52%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
10-11
91%
9-18
6-14
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.8
33.9
34.4
16
56%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-3
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
2-5
40%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
32.1
31.7
4
29%
8
0
1
0
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.9
29.8
31.3
3
19%
8
1
3
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-5
2-6
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
20.6
33.0
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
31.7
21.1
20
67%
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
48%
2-3
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.1
29.4
22.9
4
50%
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
39%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.0
13.7
12.5
2
14%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.6
11.6
3.7
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
2.1
0
0-0
36%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
1.1
0
0-0
42%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.2
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
36.0
33.9
13
50%
10
8
1
1
0
3
2
8
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.1
35.0
31.1
22
62%
8
2
1
0
3
2
4
4
12-13
92%
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.7
33.4
28.6
11
53%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
32.2
30.2
4
33%
12
1
1
1
3
1
3
9
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
27.7
35.2
11
40%
2
2
1
2
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
32.3
22.7
13
60%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.7
15.8
15.8
8
36%
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
14.6
18.3
4
100%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.2
12.9
15.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
0.6
0
0-0
43%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.