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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
January 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Lakers23%10197
8Mavericks77%111110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
41.3
33.6
24
60%
4
6
4
1
0
2
1
3
8-9
89%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
4-11
36%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.5
36.2
32.7
15
44%
13
5
0
0
2
3
4
9
5-7
71%
5-14
7-15
36%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
35.8
22.0
17
61%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
33.4
31.5
18
83%
3
6
0
1
0
6
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
3-5
60%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.6
27.6
22.1
7
35%
10
0
1
0
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
26.6
15.8
5
43%
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.5
20.2
13.6
9
58%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-4
25%
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.6
18.8
34.2
2
14%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.1
10.6
0
1-3
45%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.9
9.5
0
0-1
42%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
7.7
0
1-2
44%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.7
5.5
0
1-2
47%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.9
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
37.3
36.6
16
42%
0
9
5
2
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
7-17
6-13
41%
49%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
36.1
33.0
12
75%
2
8
5
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
31.0
32.2
27
62%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
3-4
75%
12-17
6-12
71%
51%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
27.3
17.1
15
66%
9
0
1
1
0
1
0
9
1-3
33%
7-10
3-5
70%
55%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
15.3
30.0
8
57%
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.9
25.5
23.8
19
74%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
3-5
60%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
21.6
14.6
5
43%
1
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
17.8
20.0
8
57%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
61%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
12.6
12.5
0
0%
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.8
7.2
2.7
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
6.8
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
1.5
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
1.2
0
0-0
52%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.