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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder
101
27Jazz
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
45
34
48
7
5
4
1
2
0
0
7
17-19
89%
11-21
7-13
52%
54%
3-13
23%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.7
42
27
20
5
6
4
1
0
4
3
2
7-10
70%
5-10
5-9
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
20
25
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
16
23
6
5
1
1
1
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
48%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
15
17
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
30
18
8
6
3
0
1
0
2
4
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
27
23
9
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-8
13%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
21
20
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-5
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
12
11
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
11
4
0
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
32
1
6-10
56%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
3
0
0-0
55%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.8
37
36
37
11
7
2
1
1
4
0
11
9-13
69%
11-13
4-10
85%
44%
2-3
67%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.2
37
31
10
6
6
2
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
3-8
3-8
38%
41%
1-4
25%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.5
37
28
15
5
0
0
1
3
2
0
5
3-4
75%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.6
32
26
12
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.5
29
29
10
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.5
26
26
9
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
44%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.6
13
22
10
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
11
14
0
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
11
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.2
7
17
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.1
4
0
0-1
38%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
2
0
0-0
50%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.5
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.