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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 8, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks
90
2Spurs
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
35
36
21
3
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
10-17
6-13
59%
46%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
27
31
8
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-12
6-12
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
26
34
5
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
23
21
6
6
1
2
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
12
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
28
18
5
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
23
24
14
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
20
19
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
58%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
17
7
7
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
39%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
11
13
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.8
10
5
2
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
39%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
4
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
30
22
7
9
0
0
1
0
0
1
8
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
29
32
16
13
1
0
1
2
4
3
10
6-6
100%
5-8
7-13
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
29
34
25
2
7
0
1
0
6
0
2
5-6
83%
10-15
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
29
20
6
5
6
1
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
57%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
26
29
12
8
0
1
1
0
0
1
7
1-1
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
57%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
25
25
17
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
19
13
11
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
3-7
43%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
17
3
9
0
5
3
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
17
8
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
11
16
4
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
7
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
27
1
3-6
52%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
13
0
2-4
56%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.