Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pistons	33%	98	91	90.1	101	117.0
	11	Raptors	67%	104	112	109.8	102	89.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 20	35.4	6	33%	16	0	1	2	2	5	5	11	2-6	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	33.8	22	48%	3	9	0	0	3	3	0	3	7-9	78%	3-11	27%	3-8	38%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 28	31.2	13	41%	6	2	1	2	1	4	2	4	3-9	33%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G · 6'5" 204 · 21	30.3	13	81%	3	2	4	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Greg Monroe F · 6'11" 265 · 24	28.7	11	46%	11	1	0	0	2	2	3	8	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Kyle Singler F · 6'8" 228 · 26	25.5	4	67%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 28	20.1	14	44%	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1	6-8	75%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 31	13.7	4	29%	1	4	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 29	11.4	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 27	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gigi Datome F · 6'8" 215 · 26	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Peyton Siva #34 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Mitchell #9 · · 6'8" 216 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	44%	47	20	7	5	15	0	11	36	19-35	54%	30-70	43%	4-16	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 20	35.4	6	33%	16	0	1	2	2	5	5	11	2-6	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	33.8	22	48%	3	9	0	0	3	3	0	3	7-9	78%	3-11	27%	3-8	38%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 28	31.2	13	41%	6	2	1	2	1	4	2	4	3-9	33%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G · 6'5" 204 · 21	30.3	13	81%	3	2	4	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Greg Monroe F · 6'11" 265 · 24	28.7	11	46%	11	1	0	0	2	2	3	8	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Kyle Singler F · 6'8" 228 · 26	25.5	4	67%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 28	20.1	14	44%	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1	6-8	75%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 31	13.7	4	29%	1	4	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 29	11.4	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 27	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gigi Datome F · 6'8" 215 · 26	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Peyton Siva #34 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Mitchell #9 · · 6'8" 216 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	44%	47	20	7	5	15	0	11	36	19-35	54%	30-70	43%	4-16	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.5	19	43%	6	4	2	2	3	0	1	5	13-16	81%	3-14	21%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 28	34.0	21	81%	5	9	1	0	1	4	1	4	9-9	100%	0-3	0%	4-6	67%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 27	33.4	10	36%	11	1	1	4	3	4	5	6	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 23	29.3	17	65%	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-10	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 22	26.4	16	80%	11	2	0	2	2	5	2	9	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-

John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 34	22.5	7	39%	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 27	19.5	7	44%	6	3	0	0	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 25	18.1	8	67%	3	4	0	1	0	5	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31	16.6	5	63%	7	1	0	0	1	5	3	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26	1.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 31	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Hansbrough #50 · · 6'9" 250 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dwight Buycks #13 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	55	25	5	10	12	0	12	43	31-34	91%	24-55	44%	11-31	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DET	TOR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET

0.88 44.2%

TOR

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

18

41

44%

TOR

14

31

45%

Midrange

DET

12

29

41%

TOR

10

24

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

4

6.0

16

25%

38%

TOR

11

16.5

31

35%

53%

Free Throws

DET

19

35

54%

TOR

31

34

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Jennings	22	48%	11.0 / 23
R. Stuckey	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Smith	13	41%	6.5 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	81%	6.5 / 8
G. Monroe	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Drummond	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Singler	4	67%	2.0 / 3
W. Bynum	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Villanueva	2	25%	1.0 / 4
G. Datome	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	21	81%	10.5 / 13
D. DeRozan	19	43%	9.5 / 22
T. Ross	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Valančiūnas	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Johnson	10	36%	5.0 / 14
P. Patterson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Salmons	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Vasquez	7	44%	3.5 / 8
C. Hayes	5	63%	2.5 / 4
L. Fields	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Novak	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 106.2 10 108.7	DET 90.1 TOR 109.8 +19.7
Pace	12 94.7 23 92.0	DET 117.0 +27.3 TOR 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.2 5 16.1	DET 12.3 −3.7 TOR 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 48.2% 15 49.8%	DET 41.9% TOR 47.1% +5.2%
TO %	11 14.7% 9 14.4%	DET 13.6% TOR 12.2% −1.4%
ORB %	1 31.4% 9 27.2%	DET 20.4% TOR 25.0% +4.6%
FTrt	11 29.6 6 30.6	DET 40.7 +1.2 TOR 39.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 53.9% 16 58.1%	DET 58.8% TOR 71.4% +12.6%
STL %	7 8.8% 25 7.6%	DET 6.9% +2.0% TOR 4.9%
BLK %	12 8.0% 22 6.9%	DET 9.1% TOR 14.3% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 50.3% 13 53.0%	DET 44.2% TOR 53.3% +9.1%
Rim FG%	18 57.6% 20 57.5%	DET 43.9% TOR 45.2% +1.3%
Mid FG%	30 35.4% 19 38.7%	DET 41.4% TOR 41.7% +0.3%
3P %	29 32.1% 9 37.2%	DET 25.0% TOR 35.5% +10.5%
FT %	30 67.0% 5 78.3%	DET 54.3% TOR 91.2% +36.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 45.0% 25 33.3%	DET 47.7% +11.6% TOR 36.0%
Mid Att. %	5 32.8% 16 38.2%	DET 33.7% TOR 27.9% −5.8%
3P Att. %	26 22.2% 11 28.5%	DET 18.6% TOR 36.0% +17.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.

Game Totals	DET	TOR
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	20.7	27.3
Points	91	112
Rebounds	47	55
Assists	20	25
Steals	7	5
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	43 (2)
Field Goals	34-86	35-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-41	14-31
Midrange FG	12-29	10-24
2-Point FG	30-70	24-55
3-Point FG	4-16	11-31
Free Throws	19-35	31-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg