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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 8, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards40%96102
17Pelicans60%9996
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
38
25
21
10
2
0
1
0
1
4
6
1-1
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
46%
2-7
29%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
33
33
20
4
6
2
1
0
4
0
4
5-8
63%
3-10
5-11
30%
46%
3-4
75%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
31
28
11
14
1
2
0
2
1
3
11
5-6
83%
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.5
30
28
17
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
4-10
43%
43%
3-6
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
16
25
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.3
27
20
11
4
3
1
1
1
4
0
4
3-5
60%
4-6
3-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
23
15
12
7
0
0
1
1
1
5
2
0-2
0%
6-8
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
21
28
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.7
15
13
2
0
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.6
7
12
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.1
6
0
1-2
48%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.1
5
0
0-1
41%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
2
0
0-0
39%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
38
31
23
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-5
80%
8-13
4-9
62%
48%
1-5
20%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.8
33
37
21
7
1
1
1
3
3
1
6
4-6
67%
7-12
8-14
58%
53%
1-1
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
29
28
4
5
2
0
1
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
29
30
8
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.7
15
16
6
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
23
19
7
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
5-6
83%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
20
14
10
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
19
16
11
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
18
24
3
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-5
5-9
0%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
13
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
4
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
7
0
0-1
47%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
3
0
0-0
53%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.