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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
January 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder
88
15Nuggets
101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
27.9
38.0
30
60%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
15-16
94%
6-11
8-15
55%
53%
1-7
14%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.7
25.6
32.4
13
50%
4
5
2
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
24.1
22.3
8
34%
10
0
0
0
3
0
3
7
2-2
100%
3-11
4-7
27%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
22.6
23.0
4
50%
7
0
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
21.2
20.3
6
55%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
25.8
24.4
3
12%
1
1
0
1
3
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-8
3-6
13%
49%
0-4
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
24.2
19.7
12
55%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
4-8
50%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
23.2
16.3
4
29%
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
18.7
11.5
3
80%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
13.4
22.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
13.1
6.5
5
64%
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2.8
0
0-0
54%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
40.1
35.6
16
50%
7
14
3
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
49%
2-4
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
37.7
31.6
24
94%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
41%
6-9
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
31.6
26.9
9
42%
14
0
1
1
1
2
2
12
1-4
25%
4-9
5-9
44%
54%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.3
25.1
25.8
4
20%
12
3
1
1
1
1
4
8
2-2
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.1
20.3
3.5
9
65%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
23.1
19.7
6
22%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-6
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
22.4
19.1
7
90%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
17.8
18.2
19
71%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
16.4
18.6
4
25%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
2.7
5.6
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
2.7
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
26.8
1
3-6
48%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
4.8
0
1-1
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.