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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
January 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pelicans30%98107
9Mavericks70%105110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.8
39.6
36.2
28
65%
14
2
0
1
0
1
6
8
8-10
80%
10-17
7-14
59%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
37.8
33.3
20
63%
3
3
2
1
0
8
2
1
3-4
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
35.7
26.7
15
73%
11
2
0
1
0
4
1
10
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
31.3
19.6
7
31%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
42%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
19.0
22.2
10
61%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
4-5
80%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
23.3
15.2
9
38%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-7
1-4
29%
41%
1-3
33%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
19.4
10.8
12
120%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
4-5
80%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.7
11.8
11.3
2
100%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
9.2
14.5
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
8.6
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
4.3
4.9
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
20.4
1
3-7
45%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
17.0
1
3-7
47%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
41.0
33.9
26
66%
5
4
1
2
0
5
0
5
12-15
80%
7-12
6-12
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
35.1
30.7
17
72%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
4-7
57%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
34.6
27.5
5
43%
2
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
33.5
28.9
40
74%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
15-16
94%
5-11
6-11
45%
51%
5-9
56%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
23.1
14.6
4
50%
9
1
0
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
26.7
22.1
10
46%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
24.9
17.6
8
84%
4
0
3
0
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
4-6
67%
60%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
10.8
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
5.8
22.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
55%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.9
2.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
2.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.