Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Magic	25%	99	94	98.9	95	93.4
	14	Nuggets	75%	108	120	126.3	95	96.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	37.3	22	52%	9	4	0	0	1	3	4	5	6-8	75%	8-16	50%	0-1	0%
Victor Oladipo G · 6'4" 210 · 22	32.3	15	58%	3	5	1	0	3	1	2	1	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	0-3	0%
Glen Davis C · 6'9" 289 · 28	27.6	20	59%	6	1	1	1	0	2	0	6	4-6	67%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 32	26.0	10	56%	4	7	1	0	4	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 21	17.2	3	38%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 22	31.6	8	31%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25	24.9	10	50%	3	2	0	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24	21.4	4	67%	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 24	16.7	2	20%	4	0	0	1	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 31	5.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 28	\| DND - Strained Right Foot
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 23	\| NWT - Concussion
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 31	\| NWT - Sinus Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	40	23	4	4	11	0	8	32	16-23	70%	33-64	52%	4-20	20%

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25 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	37.3	22	52%	9	4	0	0	1	3	4	5	6-8	75%	8-16	50%	0-1	0%
Victor Oladipo G · 6'4" 210 · 22	32.3	15	58%	3	5	1	0	3	1	2	1	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	0-3	0%
Glen Davis C · 6'9" 289 · 28	27.6	20	59%	6	1	1	1	0	2	0	6	4-6	67%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 32	26.0	10	56%	4	7	1	0	4	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 21	17.2	3	38%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%

Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 22	31.6	8	31%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25	24.9	10	50%	3	2	0	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24	21.4	4	67%	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 24	16.7	2	20%	4	0	0	1	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 31	5.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 28	\| DND - Strained Right Foot
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 23	\| NWT - Concussion
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 31	\| NWT - Sinus Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	40	23	4	4	11	0	8	32	16-23	70%	33-64	52%	4-20	20%

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14 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 21	35.6	16	50%	11	1	1	2	1	1	2	9	6-6	100%	5-7	71%	0-6	0%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 26	30.4	16	67%	0	8	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 30	30.4	18	75%	4	4	1	1	0	2	1	3	5-5	100%	2-2	100%	3-8	38%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 24	29.4	17	57%	9	4	2	1	3	4	3	6	1-3	33%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C · 6'9" 242 · 25	26.6	13	54%	10	2	1	0	1	1	2	8	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%

Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	23.8	14	64%	9	1	0	0	1	3	4	5	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21	21.6	18	100%	5	2	0	0	1	3	0	5	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	19.6	5	63%	1	6	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23	12.0	3	38%	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 26	10.6	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| DND - Left Hip Strain
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	\| NWT - Personal Reasons
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DND - Left Ankle Sprain
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	60%	50	30	5	7	10	0	12	38	20-26	77%	32-59	54%	12-28	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.97 48.5%

DEN

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

19

31

61%

DEN

19

28

68%

Midrange

ORL

14

33

42%

DEN

13

31

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

4

6.0

20

20%

30%

DEN

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

Free Throws

ORL

16

23

70%

DEN

20

26

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Harris	22	52%	11.0 / 21
G. Davis	20	59%	10.0 / 17
V. Oladipo	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Nelson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
E. Moore	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Lamb	8	31%	4.0 / 13
K. O'Quinn	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Harkless	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Nicholson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Foye	18	75%	9.0 / 12
E. Fournier	18	100%	9.0 / 9
K. Faried	17	57%	8.5 / 15
Q. Miller	16	50%	8.0 / 16
T. Lawson	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Mozgov	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Hickson	13	54%	6.5 / 12
N. Robinson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Hamilton	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Arthur	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 101.9 15 106.3	ORL 98.9 DEN 126.3 +27.4
Pace	18 93.4 3 97.8	ORL 93.4 DEN 96.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 15.3 28 14.2	ORL 15.4 DEN 14.9 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.7% 16 49.7%	ORL 46.4% DEN 57.5% +11.1%
TO %	15 15.0% 28 15.7%	ORL 10.5% DEN 9.2% −1.3%
ORB %	25 22.5% 5 27.5%	ORL 17.4% DEN 27.3% +9.9%
FTrt	24 25.3 7 30.6	ORL 27.4 DEN 29.9 +2.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 57.1% 15 58.4%	ORL 62.2% DEN 68.2% +6.0%
STL %	15 8.1% 20 7.6%	ORL 4.2% DEN 5.3% +1.1%
BLK %	21 6.9% 4 8.6%	ORL 6.8% DEN 10.9% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 51.0% 17 52.2%	ORL 48.5% DEN 60.0% +11.5%
Rim FG%	24 55.8% 19 57.6%	ORL 61.3% DEN 67.9% +6.6%
Mid FG%	10 40.7% 28 36.2%	ORL 42.4% +0.5% DEN 41.9%
3P %	21 35.3% 15 35.8%	ORL 20.0% DEN 42.9% +22.9%
FT %	12 76.3% 27 72.6%	ORL 69.6% DEN 76.9% +7.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.8% 5 40.2%	ORL 36.9% +4.7% DEN 32.2%
Mid Att. %	26 42.7% 3 32.0%	ORL 39.3% DEN 35.6% −3.7%
3P Att. %	22 23.5% 12 27.8%	ORL 23.8% DEN 32.2% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	DEN
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	94	120
Rebounds	40	50
Assists	23	30
Steals	4	5
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	38 (0)
Field Goals	37-84	44-87
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	19-28
Midrange FG	14-33	13-31
2-Point FG	33-64	32-59
3-Point FG	4-20	12-28
Free Throws	16-23	20-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg