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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 13, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards
102
18Bulls
88
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
39
34
16
9
4
1
2
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
3-6
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
36
37
19
5
7
4
2
1
5
0
5
7-8
88%
6-11
5-12
55%
44%
0-3
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.3
36
24
19
5
5
2
1
2
3
1
4
1-6
17%
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
36
25
7
11
2
0
0
2
0
3
8
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.5
30
27
13
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
41%
1-3
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
27
24
12
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
24
19
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.7
13
10
10
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
13
1
1-2
51%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.1
11
0
2-4
47%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.6
7
0
1-2
43%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.1
3
0
0-1
39%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
1
0
0-0
38%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.3
37
26
12
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
37
34
8
16
3
2
1
1
3
5
11
4-6
67%
2-5
5-10
40%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.1
32
25
19
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
9-15
5-11
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.3
29
31
10
1
0
0
1
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
28
30
8
3
8
0
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
3-10
2-4
30%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.2
26
28
7
1
7
2
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
25
29
8
7
2
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
16
15
12
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
8
19
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.4
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
0
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.