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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 13, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Magic
88
9Mavericks
107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
41
19
13
7
3
2
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.9
39
30
21
2
7
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
35
34
10
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.0
32
30
19
8
0
1
1
0
0
1
7
3-3
100%
8-13
5-12
62%
45%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.7
30
32
11
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
45%
1-3
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.9
20
16
4
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.2
18
15
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-4
25%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.9
15
8
0
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
7
13
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
4
10
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
24
0
3-7
49%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.2
9
0
2-3
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.6
2
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
36
36
21
3
3
1
2
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
7-15
6-13
47%
49%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
32
31
13
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
28
30
15
5
2
0
1
1
3
0
5
6-6
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
25
29
14
4
1
3
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
50%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
19
17
2
6
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
23
23
17
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
23
20
2
6
0
0
1
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-6
20%
61%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
21
3
12
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
46%
2-5
40%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
16
17
6
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.9
15
4
0
1
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
1
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
24
1
3-6
53%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.