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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings21%9292
5Pacers79%103116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
30
33
31
13
2
2
2
1
4
6
7
7-7
100%
12-21
7-16
57%
46%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
30
31
12
0
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
28
21
7
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
27
34
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
19
28
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
25
23
9
6
2
0
1
1
1
4
2
1-4
25%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
23
14
6
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
21
15
9
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
40%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
19
22
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-4
29%
38%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
10
2
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-4
25%
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
8
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
18
0
3-6
48%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
34
36
31
3
2
1
2
0
5
0
3
7-8
88%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
4-7
57%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.4
30
34
13
5
5
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
5-6
4-8
83%
54%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.1
28
30
10
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.4
28
29
16
8
3
1
1
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.7
27
30
9
5
3
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
21
25
9
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.2
20
16
2
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
16
18
10
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.7
16
17
9
7
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
5
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
50%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
4
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.