Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Heat	57%	101	97	104.3	93	95.6
	15	Wizards	43%	99	114	125.3	91	88.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	41.1	25	57%	8	7	2	0	4	1	2	6	9-10	90%	8-14	57%	0-4	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	39.6	15	54%	2	7	3	0	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	35.9	26	65%	7	2	1	0	0	2	3	4	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	3-6	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	32.9	8	36%	6	5	0	0	3	0	1	5	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	19.3	3	30%	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	25.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	20.7	2	50%	6	0	0	0	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 26	\|
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	6.9	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	2.3	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Toney Douglas G · 6'2" 195 · 28	\| NWT -
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mario Chalmers #15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	35	22	6	1	12	0	9	26	16-17	94%	30-59	51%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	41.1	25	57%	8	7	2	0	4	1	2	6	9-10	90%	8-14	57%	0-4	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	39.6	15	54%	2	7	3	0	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	35.9	26	65%	7	2	1	0	0	2	3	4	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	3-6	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	32.9	8	36%	6	5	0	0	3	0	1	5	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	19.3	3	30%	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	25.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	20.7	2	50%	6	0	0	0	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 26	\|
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	6.9	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	2.3	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Toney Douglas G · 6'2" 195 · 28	\| NWT -
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mario Chalmers #15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	35	22	6	1	12	0	9	26	16-17	94%	30-59	51%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 23	36.9	25	74%	5	9	0	2	4	4	0	5	8-8	100%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	35.5	10	71%	4	5	2	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 31	34.4	19	50%	4	9	2	2	1	3	0	4	7-9	78%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 30	31.1	12	55%	9	0	0	3	1	2	3	6	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 21	28.6	19	68%	5	4	0	0	0	3	0	5	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%

Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27	31.2	11	69%	2	0	1	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 26	28.6	13	93%	11	2	1	0	0	1	4	7	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 28	11.1	3	75%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Singleton F · 6'9" 228 · 24	0.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jan Vesely F · 7'0" 242 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eric Maynor G · 6'3" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Glen Rice #14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Harrington #7 · F · 6'9" 245 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	66%	41	30	7	7	12	0	7	34	22-26	85%	31-53	58%	10-22	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.02 51.1%

WAS

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

19

29

66%

WAS

18

25

72%

Midrange

MIA

11

30

37%

WAS

13

28

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

25

28%

42%

WAS

10

15.0

22

45%

68%

Free Throws

MIA

16

17

94%

WAS

22

26

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	26	65%	13.0 / 20
L. James	25	57%	12.5 / 22
N. Cole	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Wade	8	36%	4.0 / 11
G. Oden	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Beasley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Jones	6	150%	3.0 / 2
S. Battier	3	30%	1.5 / 5
U. Haslem	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Allen	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wall	25	74%	12.5 / 17
Nene	19	50%	9.5 / 19
B. Beal	19	68%	9.5 / 14
T. Booker	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Gortat	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Webster	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Ariza	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Temple	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Singleton	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 110.7 20 105.5	MIA 104.3 WAS 125.3 +21.0
Pace	26 91.5 16 93.7	MIA 95.6 +7.0 WAS 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.8 16 15.3	MIA 15.1 −1.2 WAS 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.4% 11 50.6%	MIA 48.2% WAS 61.3% +13.1%
TO %	20 15.4% 13 14.8%	MIA 12.4% WAS 12.2% −0.2%
ORB %	29 20.6% 18 25.2%	MIA 20.9% WAS 21.2% +0.3%
FTrt	9 30.0 26 24.8	MIA 20.2 WAS 34.7 +14.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 58.8% 7 60.1%	MIA 59.5% WAS 73.2% +13.7%
STL %	1 9.7% 12 8.5%	MIA 6.5% WAS 7.7% +1.2%
BLK %	11 8.1% 14 7.7%	MIA 1.9% WAS 11.9% +10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.5% 15 52.5%	MIA 51.1% WAS 65.5% +14.4%
Rim FG%	1 66.7% 4 61.8%	MIA 65.5% WAS 72.0% +6.5%
Mid FG%	1 42.8% 26 37.7%	MIA 36.7% WAS 46.4% +9.7%
3P %	12 36.4% 5 38.0%	MIA 28.0% WAS 45.5% +17.5%
FT %	15 76.0% 25 73.1%	MIA 94.1% +9.5% WAS 84.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 38.3% 20 33.8%	MIA 34.5% +1.2% WAS 33.3%
Mid Att. %	4 32.5% 25 41.6%	MIA 35.7% −1.6% WAS 37.3%
3P Att. %	6 29.2% 18 24.6%	MIA 29.8% +0.4% WAS 29.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	MIA	WAS
Possessions	93	91
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	97	114
Rebounds	35	41
Assists	22	30
Steals	6	7
Blocks	1	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	34 (1)
Field Goals	37-84	41-75
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	18-25
Midrange FG	11-30	13-28
2-Point FG	30-59	31-53
3-Point FG	7-25	10-22
Free Throws	16-17	22-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg