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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Raptors56%10083
22Celtics44%9888
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.8
42
32
18
7
12
0
1
1
3
2
5
3-4
75%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
3-8
38%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
37
34
23
8
3
1
1
0
1
2
6
4-9
44%
8-20
6-14
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
26
26
6
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-6
33%
2-4
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.9
25
29
8
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
23
28
5
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
1-7
4-8
14%
53%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.1
27
24
13
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
3-5
60%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
20
24
2
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.6
16
13
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
11
3
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.0
9
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
2
0
0-0
44%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
2
0
0-0
53%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.9
39
23
25
20
4
2
0
0
0
8
12
10-14
71%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
38
31
13
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-6
67%
3-11
4-9
27%
48%
1-5
20%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
36
33
20
5
1
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-6
67%
8-19
5-11
42%
47%
0-2
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.9
26
6
0
3
10
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
25
24
12
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
25
24
7
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
5-6
83%
1-5
4-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
23
18
7
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
20
21
1
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-6
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
5
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.7
4
17
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.9
32
2
5-11
47%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.7
3
0
0-0
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.