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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
82
27Bucks
77
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
35
36
15
7
5
1
2
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
4-7
6-11
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
26
36
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-10
8-16
20%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
26
30
9
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.9
25
27
8
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.0
14
26
0
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
5-9
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
28
23
15
6
5
2
1
6
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
22
12
10
4
3
1
0
2
1
0
4
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
21
22
14
9
1
0
1
0
0
4
5
0-2
0%
7-8
4-7
88%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
19
17
2
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
0-3
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
13
9
3
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.5
9
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.7
9
0
1-3
51%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
8
1
1-2
49%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.9
43
27
9
6
9
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.1
40
30
27
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
5-8
63%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
37
22
10
12
1
0
1
3
1
5
7
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
29
29
4
13
3
1
1
0
1
4
9
0-0
-
2-10
4-8
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.1
22
28
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-2
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.1
26
13
8
13
2
1
0
1
2
5
8
2-4
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
19
12
10
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.4
12
31
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
7
22
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
5
10
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
13
0
1-2
44%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
5
0
1-1
45%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
47%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.9
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.