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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Jazz16%94105
2Spurs84%108109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.5
38
33
20
5
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
4-6
67%
8-16
5-10
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.6
32
31
15
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-5
60%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
2-3
67%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.5
32
32
19
12
0
0
1
0
1
2
10
3-5
60%
8-16
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.2
32
33
17
3
11
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-16
3-9
31%
40%
2-3
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.6
21
25
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.7
27
21
25
11
0
2
0
0
4
5
6
1-1
100%
12-15
4-9
80%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.5
22
13
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
16
16
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.2
16
14
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.2
4
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
2
0
0-0
45%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
38%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
2
0
0-0
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
34
32
25
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
7-8
88%
9-16
7-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
33
32
15
7
6
3
2
2
0
0
7
1-1
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
2-6
33%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
29
16
10
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
24
27
15
8
4
0
1
3
1
0
8
1-1
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.5
21
17
13
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
54%
2-4
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
32
25
15
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
4-10
3-5
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
24
22
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
58%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
15
16
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
14
16
6
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
10
15
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.6
3
0
0-0
49%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.