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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
January 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder
104
7Rockets
92
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
42.8
37.9
36
60%
5
7
0
1
0
7
1
4
18-20
90%
6-14
8-15
43%
53%
2-7
29%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
37.4
30.6
21
81%
15
0
0
0
5
3
4
11
0-0
-
9-12
6-10
75%
54%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
34.5
32.4
23
61%
2
4
6
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
10-12
5-10
83%
50%
1-7
14%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
26.1
18.8
4
50%
8
2
2
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
24.6
24.2
5
39%
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
22.1
26.8
5
28%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-6
17%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
19.1
17.6
2
50%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
17.8
20.7
3
30%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
1-2
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
10.3
16.7
5
66%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
5.2
8.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
6.0
0
0-1
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 32.1
4.9
0
0-0
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2.1
0
0-0
53%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
42.8
33.2
14
45%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-6
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
3-9
33%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
40.5
35.0
16
55%
13
3
2
1
1
3
3
10
4-6
67%
6-11
5-11
55%
52%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
39.9
38.0
16
46%
7
8
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-3
67%
4-8
5-11
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.1
29.8
32.5
11
40%
8
2
0
1
3
3
3
5
1-2
50%
5-13
6-11
38%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
24.1
36.7
6
34%
0
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
23.9
10.2
15
83%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
3-4
75%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.0
23.9
12.1
11
62%
2
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
3-7
43%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
8.7
15.5
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
6.3
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
8.1
0
0-1
44%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
5.3
0
1-1
56%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
4.9
0
0-1
52%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.7
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.1
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.