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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat74%110101
3076ers26%10186
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.0
37
39
21
8
10
2
2
1
3
1
7
7-8
88%
7-12
8-14
58%
59%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.8
33
35
25
6
4
2
1
5
3
3
3
3-4
75%
11-18
6-11
61%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.4
31
19
13
4
0
3
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
28
12
10
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.0
25
30
8
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
7-13
50%
53%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
26
36
13
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.5
23
26
2
4
5
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-4
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
16
14
1
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.4
14
10
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
2
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
35%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
2
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.0
3
0
1-1
57%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.5
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
32
34
10
4
0
4
2
1
3
2
2
4-6
67%
3-12
6-12
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
29
34
11
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
4-7
6-12
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.7
27
35
10
10
4
1
1
1
3
4
6
0-1
0%
5-12
4-7
42%
49%
0-2
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
25
29
4
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
24
32
7
1
2
1
2
0
5
0
1
5-6
83%
1-4
5-11
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.8
26
17
13
3
3
2
1
1
3
1
2
4-8
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.8
21
15
10
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
21
13
7
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
1-3
33%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
19
14
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
16
11
9
4
0
0
0
0
4
3
1
1-1
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
45%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
6
0
1-1
51%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
5
0
1-1
47%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.4
4
0
0-1
44%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.8
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.