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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls41%9293
20Wizards59%9596
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.3
39
36
9
3
4
4
2
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
33
35
9
12
6
1
1
0
2
4
8
5-6
83%
2-5
5-10
40%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.3
32
26
7
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.2
30
25
12
6
1
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
28
25
18
5
5
0
1
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
42%
2-6
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
26
29
12
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
26
19
8
1
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.2
20
28
16
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
4-6
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.4
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
8
0
0-1
40%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.9
5
0
0-1
40%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
0
0
0-0
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.3
35
30
10
7
4
1
1
2
4
1
6
4-6
67%
3-15
5-10
20%
51%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
35
29
13
6
1
0
1
3
2
1
5
1-1
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
34
36
23
4
11
1
2
0
4
2
2
5-6
83%
9-14
5-11
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
33
35
4
8
3
2
2
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.6
23
28
14
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
36
27
14
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
4-5
80%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
26
23
12
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.7
14
11
6
1
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
0-1
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.6
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.1
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
7
0
1-1
53%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
42%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
1
0
0-0
38%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.