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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
January 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings34%9690
11Grizzlies66%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
39.5
32.2
22
43%
17
1
0
2
1
2
3
14
10-13
77%
6-20
8-16
30%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
39.0
34.2
14
46%
3
9
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
37.1
32.1
19
47%
4
3
0
1
0
4
2
2
5-5
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
27.6
28.7
10
71%
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
25.1
25.0
5
63%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
26.2
24.8
10
63%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
13.4
15.3
7
58%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
12.0
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
11.1
15.9
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
9.1
13.3
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
7.5
0
1-3
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
6.1
0
1-1
43%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
37.3
35.6
25
76%
2
6
1
2
1
1
0
2
6-8
75%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
3-5
60%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
35.9
32.4
12
47%
9
2
0
1
4
2
1
8
2-2
100%
5-11
7-15
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
32.7
28.2
17
57%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.0
30.9
21.5
16
58%
3
2
2
1
4
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.9
27.2
25.8
2
20%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
20.9
24.1
7
35%
4
4
1
1
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
15.7
15.2
2
26%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
14.8
10.4
7
88%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
12.6
17.9
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
12.1
21.4
3
52%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
8.1
1
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.7
6.7
0
1-2
52%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.5
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.