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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
January 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Cavaliers
117
13Nuggets
109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
38.0
17.4
19
69%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
3-7
43%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.9
37.3
33.7
20
86%
10
0
1
1
2
3
3
7
4-6
67%
8-9
5-11
89%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.8
33.2
33.7
23
63%
4
6
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-5
80%
8-13
6-12
62%
47%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
30.8
33.3
7
52%
16
7
3
1
1
2
3
13
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.8
30.1
32.3
18
45%
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
6-7
86%
6-16
5-11
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
28.0
25.9
9
30%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-11
4-9
18%
44%
1-3
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
16.9
13.3
4
35%
7
1
0
0
0
2
5
2
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
14.8
18.1
13
78%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 26.0
10.8
11.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.4
14.7
1
1-2
44%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.8
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.8
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.2
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
39.9
39.1
19
50%
4
11
2
2
0
2
1
3
7-7
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
2-6
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
35.4
30.4
16
50%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
4-9
44%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
35.3
26.5
23
59%
4
4
0
1
1
2
0
4
4-6
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
5-12
42%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.4
32.3
31.5
8
50%
10
0
1
1
1
3
2
8
0-0
-
4-8
6-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
21.7
24.3
8
52%
6
2
0
1
1
1
3
3
2-4
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
57%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
26.4
20.4
10
71%
11
2
0
0
5
1
6
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
55%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
20.5
19.9
19
86%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
48%
3-5
60%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
16.3
21.3
6
38%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-4
0%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.2
12.3
13.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
7.3
0
1-2
47%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
4.3
0
0-1
49%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
2.2
0
0-1
49%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.