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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 18, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers
78
18Bulls
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
33
28
10
5
5
1
2
0
5
3
2
0-0
-
5-21
4-9
24%
44%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.7
30
31
9
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
30
33
12
4
2
1
2
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
29
32
7
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
5-11
43%
44%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
25
27
11
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
23
16
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.8
21
18
4
2
0
4
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
17
18
8
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.0
15
5
6
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.8
8
21
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
4
14
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.4
4
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.8
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.3
32
37
10
4
4
1
2
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
31
34
21
16
3
2
1
4
2
4
12
3-3
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
30
27
6
7
6
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.2
28
27
15
13
2
1
1
0
3
4
9
5-8
63%
5-8
6-13
63%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.3
18
28
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
30
22
13
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
51%
3-7
43%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.2
28
24
19
4
8
3
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
43%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
25
28
8
3
1
1
1
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.4
8
5
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
6
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.9
4
0
0-1
44%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.