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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings22%9793
1Thunder78%107108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
39
36
38
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
12-13
92%
7-10
4-9
70%
47%
4-8
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
33
35
16
14
1
2
2
3
7
3
11
4-6
67%
6-17
8-18
35%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
30
28
11
10
0
0
1
2
0
6
4
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
27
33
6
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-12
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
20
25
0
2
3
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
30
25
5
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
21
15
9
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
12
14
0
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
11
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
9
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
9
6
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
5
0
0-1
42%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
34
32
16
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
6-6
100%
2-12
5-10
17%
53%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
32
40
30
6
9
4
1
2
3
1
5
7-9
78%
7-10
9-16
70%
55%
3-5
60%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
29
26
10
4
2
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
2-2
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
29
33
20
6
0
0
1
2
2
3
3
2-3
67%
9-13
6-11
69%
56%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
25
23
7
6
3
1
1
0
4
3
3
3-7
43%
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
25
17
4
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
22
25
10
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
19
13
0
7
1
2
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
17
17
10
7
2
0
0
0
1
3
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 32.1
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.