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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
January 20, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Raptors55%9995
25Bobcats45%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
38.8
38.1
25
50%
6
2
3
1
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
9-20
7-16
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.8
37.5
34.1
21
47%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
6-13
3-6
46%
46%
3-9
33%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.0
21.2
31.9
1
7%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
18.4
20.3
2
20%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
17.2
28.7
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
57%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
26.1
24.3
8
44%
8
1
2
1
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.6
25.6
18.5
12
61%
13
0
1
1
0
3
5
8
2-2
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
45%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.0
23.7
17.4
15
58%
7
9
1
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
3-7
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.1
17.3
18.7
0
0%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
14.1
3.0
9
150%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
3-3
100%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
6.6
0
0-1
48%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.2
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.0
37.5
35.5
22
56%
19
7
0
1
2
2
1
18
4-4
100%
9-18
8-17
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
34.2
33.3
16
52%
4
5
0
1
1
3
0
4
8-10
80%
4-10
5-11
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
33.9
25.0
23
77%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
10-11
91%
5-7
3-8
71%
45%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.9
33.0
32.0
11
110%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.3
31.0
20.8
5
40%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-3
33%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.6
17.4
23.6
8
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.3
15.1
13.6
2
114%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.2
14.1
0.5
11
79%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
33%
3-4
75%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
13.8
6.9
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.4
10.0
7.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.7
32.6
1
5-10
46%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.9
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.1
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.