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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 20, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pelicans33%9395
11Grizzlies67%9992
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.9
40
37
27
10
2
4
1
4
2
4
6
9-10
90%
9-22
8-14
41%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
35
34
12
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
28
30
13
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
3-3
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
25
29
3
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
19
13
2
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
26
19
15
2
7
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.7
22
12
10
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
20
16
9
1
3
3
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.9
15
8
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
11
18
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
14
0
2-5
48%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
9
0
1-3
45%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
5
0
0-1
46%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
38
36
13
3
2
1
2
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
49%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
38
33
23
20
3
0
1
0
3
10
10
3-4
75%
10-19
7-14
53%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.0
36
25
14
8
4
1
1
0
5
1
7
6-8
75%
4-12
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.9
34
26
5
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
34
29
19
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
4-7
100%
51%
3-5
60%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
15
22
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
14
16
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
10
12
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
10
18
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.7
6
5
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
6
15
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
8
1
1-2
50%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.5
4
0
0-1
48%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.