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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls35%94101
15Suns65%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.4
43.8
38.2
18
51%
4
4
3
2
0
2
1
3
7-8
88%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.4
38.5
26.9
11
47%
2
1
0
1
2
5
0
2
4-6
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
36.9
27.6
14
70%
14
2
1
1
1
3
2
12
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.2
31.8
28.7
19
43%
12
1
1
1
1
1
4
8
1-2
50%
9-21
6-13
43%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
24.8
20.5
8
46%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.2
28.1
33.4
18
74%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
42%
3-6
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
22.6
26.4
8
52%
6
1
1
0
2
2
1
5
4-6
67%
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
8.9
20.2
5
125%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.4
4.7
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
34.7
28.7
24
65%
7
1
1
1
0
5
2
5
4-8
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
53%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.7
34.5
27.8
18
51%
8
1
1
1
2
2
1
7
4-4
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
2-11
18%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.4
31.3
21.7
8
68%
10
0
3
1
0
2
5
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.8
26.5
25.0
5
42%
9
0
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.0
25.6
26.0
5
19%
3
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-8
3-6
13%
49%
1-5
20%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
29.6
25.0
12
41%
5
0
2
1
2
5
1
4
3-4
75%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.2
22.9
15.2
13
68%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
7-8
88%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
20.4
22.3
5
58%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
14.4
16.0
2
33%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.6
15.2
0
2-3
50%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.5
6.9
0
1-2
47%
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.4
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 26.4
1.5
0
0-0
55%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.2
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.