Final Win Prob. pScore
652%99
110
1748%98
96
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
123.68991.7
MEM logo Grizzlies
104.39289.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM110
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMarion 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MEMJohnson Dunk (17 PTS) (Randolph 4 AST)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DALCalathes STEAL (3 STL)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MEMMISS Calathes 2' Driving Layup107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14DALNowitzki 20' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)105
94
Q4 - 1:33MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)105
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:33MEMRandolph 1' Layup (25 PTS)105
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:34MEMMISS Johnson 3' Driving Jump Shot105
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)105
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 1:45DALMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot105
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 2:06MEMLee 11' Running Bank Shot (22 PTS) (Calathes 5 AST)105
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15DALMISS Calderon 22' Jump Shot105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MEMLee 10' Running Bank Shot (20 PTS)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57DALNowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)105
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MEMRandolph 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34DALEllis 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)102
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:54MEMLee 6' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)100
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 3:55MEMLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)100
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 3:55MEMMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot100
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 4:10MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)100
84
Q4 - 4:10DALDalembert 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)100
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 4:16MEMCalathes Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)98
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 4:21DALCalathes STEAL (2 STL)98
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 4:29MEMJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)98
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 4:48DALDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 4:48DALSUB: Calderon FOR Harris97
84
Q4 - 4:48DALDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 4:48MEMRandolph S.FOUL (P3.PN)96
84
Q4 - 4:48DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)96
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 4:48DALJohnson BLOCK (4 BLK)96
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 4:49DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)96
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 4:50DALMISS Ellis 10' Jump Bank Shot96
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 5:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 5:05MEMMISS Johnson 2' Layup96
98.5%
84
1.5%
Q4 - 5:07MEMJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 5:15DALJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)96
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 5:34DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 5:35MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot96
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 5:51DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 5:51DALMavericks Rebound95
84
Q4 - 5:51DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 295
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 5:51MEMLee P.FOUL (P5.PN)95
84
Q4 - 6:08MEMJohnson 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)95
97.4%
84
2.6%
Q4 - 6:14MEMLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 6:15DALMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot95
98.2%
82
1.8%
Q4 - 6:31DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Carter95
82
Q4 - 6:31DALSUB: Dalembert FOR Wright95
82
Q4 - 6:31MEMSUB: Randolph FOR Leuer95
82
Q4 - 6:31MEMCalathes Foul Turnover (P5.T15)95
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 6:31MEMCalathes Offensive Charge Foul (P5.PN)95
82
Q4 - 6:43DALMarion 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)95
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 7:01MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
95.7%
82
4.3%
Q4 - 7:01MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
95.9%
81
4.1%
Q4 - 7:01DALMarion S.FOUL (P2.T2)92
80
Q4 - 7:21DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
96.6%
80
3.4%
Q4 - 7:21DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
96.5%
80
3.5%
Q4 - 7:21MEMGasol P.FOUL (P4.PN)90
80
Q4 - 7:34DALSUB: Ellis FOR Crowder90
80
Q4 - 7:34DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)90
80
Q4 - 7:36MEMCalathes 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)90
95.7%
80
4.3%
Q4 - 7:48MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
96.7%
78
3.3%
Q4 - 7:49DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot90
97.0%
78
3.0%
Q4 - 8:08MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calathes 4 AST)90
96.7%
78
3.3%
Q4 - 8:27DALWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)90
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 8:27DALSUB: Marion FOR Nowitzki89
76
Q4 - 8:27MEMCalathes S.FOUL (P4.T4)89
76
Q4 - 8:27DALWright Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)89
76
Q4 - 8:39MEMJohnson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 8:56DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 8:56DALCarter Tip Shot (11 PTS)87
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 8:58DALMISS Wright 9' Jump Shot85
95.1%
74
4.9%
Q4 - 9:12MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P6.T14)85
94.9%
74
5.1%
Q4 - 9:12MEMGasol OFF.Foul (P3)85
74
Q4 - 9:22DALHarris P.FOUL (P1.T1)85
74
Q4 - 9:33MEMSUB: Johnson FOR Morris85
74
Q4 - 9:33MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Randolph85
74
Q4 - 9:33MEMSUB: Calathes FOR Prince85
74
Q4 - 9:33MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)85
74
Q4 - 9:33DALCarter 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q4 - 9:47DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
92.0%
74
8.0%
Q4 - 9:48MEMMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.5%
74
8.5%
Q4 - 10:08DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (21 PTS)83
88.8%
74
11.2%
Q4 - 10:33MEMLee 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
86.5%
74
13.5%
Q4 - 10:58DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
88.9%
72
11.1%
Q4 - 10:58DALMavericks Rebound80
72
Q4 - 10:58DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 280
88.5%
72
11.5%
Q4 - 10:58MEMMorris S.FOUL (P1.T3)80
72
Q4 - 11:07MEMRandolph P.FOUL (P2.T2)80
72
Q4 - 11:13MEMLee P.FOUL (P4.T1)80
72
Q4 - 11:26MEMMorris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)80
87.8%
72
12.2%
Q4 - 11:39DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)80
85.3%
72
14.7%
Q4 - 12:0078
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM78
82.5%
72
17.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
70.3%
72
29.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMSUB: Prince FOR Leuer75
71
Q3 - 0:29.0DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Blair75
71
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound75
71
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 275
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALBlair P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
71
Q3 - 0:41.0MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
70.5%
71
29.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 175
71.1%
71
28.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MEMSUB: Morris FOR Johnson75
71
Q3 - 0:41.0MEMCalathes S.FOUL (P3.T4)75
71
Q3 - 0:41.0DALHarris 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
71
Q3 - 0:59.0DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
65.9%
71
34.1%
Q3 - 1:00MEMMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
64.5%
71
35.5%
Q3 - 1:14DALBlair 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)73
60.9%
71
39.1%
Q3 - 1:33MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)71
56.1%
71
43.9%
Q3 - 1:51DALCarter 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)71
61.0%
69
39.0%
Q3 - 2:02MEMCalathes P.FOUL (P2.T3)69
69
Q3 - 2:14MEMRandolph 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
55.8%
69
44.2%
Q3 - 2:33DALWright 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)69
60.2%
67
39.8%
Q3 - 2:48DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
67
Q3 - 2:50MEMRandolph 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)67
55.8%
67
44.2%
Q3 - 2:56MEMLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
60.2%
65
39.8%
Q3 - 2:59DALMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot67
61.6%
65
38.4%
Q3 - 3:04MEMJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2)67
65
Q3 - 3:15DALSUB: Wright FOR Marion67
65
Q3 - 3:15MEMCalathes Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)67
64.4%
65
35.6%
Q3 - 3:30DALSUB: Harris FOR Calderon67
65
Q3 - 3:30DALBlair Foul Turnover (P2.T11)67
59.9%
65
40.1%
Q3 - 3:30DALBlair Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN)67
65
Q3 - 3:34DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
64.4%
65
35.6%
Q3 - 3:35MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot67
63.1%
65
36.9%
Q3 - 3:51DALBlair 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)67
59.9%
65
40.1%
Q3 - 4:05MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
56.1%
65
43.9%
Q3 - 4:05MEMSUB: Johnson FOR Miller65
64
Q3 - 4:05MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 4:05DALEllis S.FOUL (P2.T4)65
63
Q3 - 4:13DALBlair P.FOUL (P2.T3)65
63
Q3 - 4:22DALCarter P.FOUL (P2.T2)65
63
Q3 - 4:36DALEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)65
59.3%
63
40.7%
Q3 - 4:43DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
64.3%
63
35.7%
Q3 - 4:44MEMMISS Leuer 21' Jump Shot65
62.8%
63
37.2%
Q3 - 4:56DALBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
59.4%
63
40.6%
Q3 - 4:56MEMSUB: Leuer FOR Gasol64
63
Q3 - 4:56DALSUB: Carter FOR Nowitzki64
63
Q3 - 4:56DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
58.0%
63
42.0%
Q3 - 4:56MEMMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)63
63
Q3 - 5:04DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 5:06MEMMISS Calathes 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
54.1%
63
45.9%
Q3 - 5:18MEMLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
50.8%
63
49.2%
Q3 - 5:21DALMISS Ellis 1' Reverse Layup63
52.3%
63
47.7%
Q3 - 5:27DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
55.6%
63
44.4%
Q3 - 5:28MEMMISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot63
54.1%
63
45.9%
Q3 - 5:41DALNowitzki 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
50.8%
63
49.2%
Q3 - 5:59MEMRandolph 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
47.3%
63
52.7%
Q3 - 6:15MEMSUB: Miller FOR Prince61
61
Q3 - 6:15DALBlair Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)61
51.1%
61
48.9%
Q3 - 6:19DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
55.5%
61
44.5%
Q3 - 6:22MEMMISS Calathes 10' Floating Jump Shot61
54.2%
61
45.8%
Q3 - 6:35MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
51.1%
61
48.9%
Q3 - 6:36DALLee BLOCK (1 BLK)61
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q3 - 6:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
55.5%
61
44.5%
Q3 - 6:56MEMMISS Gasol 1' Layup61
54.1%
61
45.9%
Q3 - 7:09MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
51.0%
61
49.0%
Q3 - 7:11DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 7:16DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
55.1%
61
44.9%
Q3 - 7:19MEMMISS Lee 21' Pullup Jump Shot61
53.9%
61
46.1%
Q3 - 7:28DALSUB: Blair FOR Dalembert61
61
Q3 - 7:28DALDalembert Foul Turnover (P1.T8)61
51.0%
61
49.0%
Q3 - 7:28DALDalembert OFF.Foul (P4)61
61
Q3 - 7:39MEMGasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)61
55.2%
61
44.8%
Q3 - 7:56MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
51.0%
61
49.0%
Q3 - 7:57DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 8:20MEMCalathes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)61
55.2%
61
44.8%
Q3 - 8:23MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
62.0%
58
38.0%
Q3 - 8:26MEMMISS Randolph 2' Layup61
64.8%
58
35.2%
Q3 - 8:29MEMLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
62.0%
58
38.0%
Q3 - 8:30MEMMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
64.8%
58
35.2%
Q3 - 8:51DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
62.0%
58
38.0%
Q3 - 8:51DALDalembert 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)61
62.0%
58
38.0%
Q3 - 8:53DALMISS Marion 1' Layup59
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 8:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
58.9%
58
41.1%
Q3 - 8:59MEMMISS Calathes 3PT Jump Shot59
57.6%
58
42.4%
Q3 - 9:20MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)59
58
Q3 - 9:20DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)59
54.8%
58
45.2%
Q3 - 9:27MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)56
47.6%
58
52.4%
Q3 - 9:33MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
43.8%
58
56.2%
Q3 - 9:35DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot56
44.9%
58
55.1%
Q3 - 9:48MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
47.6%
58
52.4%
Q3 - 9:48MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound56
57
Q3 - 9:48MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 256
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 9:48DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T1)56
57
Q3 - 9:57MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 9:59DALMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
48.6%
57
51.4%
Q3 - 10:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
51.5%
57
48.5%
Q3 - 10:24MEMMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot56
50.4%
57
49.6%
Q3 - 10:44DALCalderon 14' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 10:57DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 10:57MEMMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 11:14DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
41.4%
57
58.6%
Q3 - 11:14DALDalembert 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)54
41.4%
57
58.6%
Q3 - 11:16DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
35.9%
57
64.1%
Q3 - 11:44MEMLee 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)52
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q3 - 12:0052
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM52
41.4%
55
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.052
55
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL52
55
Q2 - 0:10.0DALEllis Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)52
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0MEMMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0MEMRandolph 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Calathes 3 AST)48
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q2 - 1:07DALWright 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q2 - 1:08DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 1:09DALMISS Calderon 5' Driving Jump Shot46
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 1:21MEMJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)46
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 1:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
39.9%
50
60.1%
Q2 - 1:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
39.6%
50
60.4%
Q2 - 1:33MEMGasol P.FOUL (P2.PN)44
50
Q2 - 1:43MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
35.8%
50
64.2%
Q2 - 1:43DALSUB: Wright FOR Dalembert44
49
Q2 - 1:43MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound44
49
Q2 - 1:43MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 244
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 1:43DALDalembert L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)44
49
Q2 - 1:43MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound44
36.9%
49
63.1%
Q2 - 1:44DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot44
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 1:58MEMCalathes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)44
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q2 - 2:12DALCalderon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)44
36.8%
49
63.2%
Q2 - 2:28DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q2 - 2:29MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 241
30.9%
49
69.1%
Q2 - 2:29DALSUB: Carter FOR Marion41
49
Q2 - 2:29MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q2 - 2:29DALDalembert P.FOUL (P2.PN)41
48
Q2 - 2:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q2 - 2:47MEMSUB: Prince FOR Lee40
48
Q2 - 2:47DALMavericks Rebound40
48
Q2 - 2:47DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 240
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q2 - 2:47MEMLee P.FOUL (P3.PN)40
48
Q2 - 2:57MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)40
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 3:11MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q2 - 3:12DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot40
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q2 - 3:29DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)40
48
Q2 - 3:35MEMLee Layup (12 PTS)40
32.3%
48
67.7%
Q2 - 3:38MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q2 - 3:40DALJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)40
35.4%
46
64.6%
Q2 - 4:01MEMCalathes Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
38.1%
46
61.9%
Q2 - 4:01MEMCalathes Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 4:01DALDalembert P.FOUL (P1.PN)40
44
Q2 - 4:03MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound40
44
Q2 - 4:03MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Dalembert: Tip to Calathes40
40.8%
44
59.2%
Q2 - 4:03DALJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)40
41.7%
44
58.3%
Q2 - 4:04DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
43.6%
44
56.4%
Q2 - 4:05DALMISS Dalembert 2' Reverse Layup40
41.7%
44
58.3%
Q2 - 4:14MEMJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
43.6%
44
56.4%
Q2 - 4:14DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Carter40
43
Q2 - 4:14DALSUB: Dalembert FOR Wright40
43
Q2 - 4:14MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound40
43
Q2 - 4:14MEMMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 240
44.4%
43
55.6%
Q2 - 4:14DALWright S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
43
Q2 - 4:30DALWright 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)40
43.6%
43
56.4%
Q2 - 4:34MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
40.8%
43
59.2%
Q2 - 5:00DALWright 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)38
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 5:17MEMJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calathes 2 AST)36
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 5:28MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)36
40
Q2 - 5:33DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)36
41.3%
40
58.7%
Q2 - 5:35DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 5:36DALMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
34.1%
40
65.9%
Q2 - 5:49MEMCalathes 8' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 6:07DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
38.6%
38
61.4%
Q2 - 6:07DALMavericks Rebound32
38
Q2 - 6:07DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 232
37.9%
38
62.1%
Q2 - 6:07MEMGasol P.FOUL (P1.PN)32
38
Q2 - 6:18DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
39.2%
38
60.8%
Q2 - 6:20DALMISS Ellis Tip Shot32
37.0%
38
63.0%
Q2 - 6:20DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
39.2%
38
60.8%
Q2 - 6:21DALMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot32
37.0%
38
63.0%
Q2 - 6:35MEMJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
39.1%
38
60.9%
Q2 - 6:35MEMSUB: Lee FOR Miller32
37
Q2 - 6:35MEMJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 6:35DALWright S.FOUL (P1.T3)32
36
Q2 - 6:48DALMarion 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)32
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 7:08MEMCalathes 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)30
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 7:37DALWright Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)30
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 7:49MEMRandolph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)28
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 7:56DALEllis P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
34
Q2 - 8:06DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
37.1%
34
62.9%
Q2 - 8:06DALMavericks Rebound27
34
Q2 - 8:06DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 227
36.4%
34
63.6%
Q2 - 8:06MEMCalathes S.FOUL (P1.T4)27
34
Q2 - 8:21DALSUB: Marion FOR Crowder27
34
Q2 - 8:21DALSUB: Carter FOR Harris27
34
Q2 - 8:21DALSUB: Calderon FOR Nowitzki27
34
Q2 - 8:21MEMSUB: Randolph FOR Koufos27
34
Q2 - 8:21DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)27
34
Q2 - 8:22MEMGasol 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calathes 1 AST)27
37.2%
34
62.8%
Q2 - 8:35MEMKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 8:36DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
40.3%
32
59.7%
Q2 - 8:55DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.2%
32
57.8%
Q2 - 8:59MEMMISS Calathes 4' Jump Shot27
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 9:04DALCalathes STEAL (1 STL)27
40.0%
32
60.0%
Q2 - 9:22MEMKoufos 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)27
42.5%
32
57.5%
Q2 - 9:38DALSUB: Ellis FOR Carter27
30
Q2 - 9:38MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)27
30
Q2 - 9:39DALCrowder 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)27
44.8%
30
55.2%
Q2 - 9:45DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 9:47MEMMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 9:53DALKoufos STEAL (1 STL)25
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 10:04MEMCalathes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 10:15DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 10:15DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
39.3%
30
60.7%
Q2 - 10:15MEMJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3)23
30
Q2 - 10:21MEMSUB: Calathes FOR Morris23
30
Q2 - 10:21MEMKoufos P.FOUL (P1.T2)23
30
Q2 - 10:38MEMJohnson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)23
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q2 - 10:43DALGasol STEAL (2 STL)23
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q2 - 10:54DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 10:57MEMMISS Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot23
41.9%
28
58.1%
Q2 - 11:13DALCarter 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)23
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q2 - 11:19DALMavericks Rebound21
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q2 - 11:19DALMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot21
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 11:31MEMJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
28
Q2 - 11:41MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q2 - 11:41MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 11:41DALCrowder S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
26
Q2 - 12:0021
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM21
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound21
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Prince 39' 3PT Jump Shot21
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)21
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MEMSUB: Johnson FOR Koufos18
26
Q1 - 0:06.0MEMLee Personal Take Foul (P2.T3)18
26
Q1 - 0:25.0MEMLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)18
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
40.8%
23
59.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MEMMISS Lee 7' Jump Shot18
42.0%
23
58.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALCrowder 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)18
40.8%
23
59.2%
Q1 - 1:01DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 1:02MEMMISS Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q1 - 1:13MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Randolph16
23
Q1 - 1:13DALBlair P.FOUL (P1.T4)16
23
Q1 - 1:33DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q1 - 1:42DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Ellis14
23
Q1 - 1:42DALSUB: Crowder FOR Marion14
23
Q1 - 1:42DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)14
23
Q1 - 1:50MEMLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)14
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 2:12DALSUB: Blair FOR Dalembert14
20
Q1 - 2:12DALCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 2:12DALCarter Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)14
20
Q1 - 2:20DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 2:22MEMMISS Koufos 9' Hook Shot14
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 2:37DALSUB: Harris FOR Calderon14
20
Q1 - 2:37MEMSUB: Morris FOR Calathes14
20
Q1 - 2:37DALCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
20
Q1 - 2:44MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 2:45MEMMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot14
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 2:51MEMCalathes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 2:52MEMMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot14
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 3:21DALDalembert Layup (6 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)14
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q1 - 3:39MEMLee Layup (4 PTS)12
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 3:43DALLee STEAL (1 STL)12
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 4:04MEMKoufos 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)12
42.7%
18
57.3%
Q1 - 4:18MEMSUB: Koufos FOR Gasol12
16
Q1 - 4:18MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 4:27DALDalembert Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 4:45DALSUB: Carter FOR Nowitzki10
16
Q1 - 4:45MEMLee Palming Turnover (P1.T4)10
42.8%
16
57.2%
Q1 - 4:53MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 4:54DALMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:04MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 5:20DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:29DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q1 - 5:31MEMMISS Calathes 8' Floating Jump Shot8
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 5:47MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 5:48DALRandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)8
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 6:07MEMGasol 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)8
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 6:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
42.4%
14
57.6%
Q1 - 6:20DALMISS Calderon 15' Pullup Jump Shot8
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 6:37MEMCalathes 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)8
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 7:03DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)8
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 7:08DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
11
Q1 - 7:27MEMRandolph 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 7:41DALCalderon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)6
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 7:43MEMCalathes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 7:52MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
48.0%
9
52.0%
Q1 - 7:55DALMISS Ellis 8' Driving Jump Shot6
48.5%
9
51.5%
Q1 - 8:13MEMRandolph 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
49.9%
9
50.1%
Q1 - 8:33MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
51.2%
7
48.8%
Q1 - 8:33DALMISS Calderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 8:41DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 8:42MEMMISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot6
52.1%
7
47.9%
Q1 - 9:02DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)6
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 9:14MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 9:14MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound4
6
Q1 - 9:14MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 24
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 9:14DALMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:20MEMLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 9:21MEMMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot4
51.3%
6
48.7%
Q1 - 9:28MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 9:30DALMISS Ellis 17' Pullup Jump Shot4
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 9:53MEMCalathes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)4
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 10:05DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 10:05DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 10:05MEMLee S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
4
Q1 - 10:09MEMRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 10:30DALGasol STEAL (1 STL)2
51.2%
4
48.8%
Q1 - 10:45MEMLee 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)2
51.9%
4
48.1%
Q1 - 11:01MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 11:01DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 12
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 11:01MEMRandolph S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:01DALDalembert 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:15MEMRandolph 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 11:36MEMPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 11:38DALMISS Ellis 2' Running Layup0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 11:44DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS Calderon 1' Driving Layup0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Dalembert: Tip to Nowitzki0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALMEM
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.24 61.8%
MEM
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
20
30
67%
MEM
11
18
61%
Midrange
DAL
14
30
47%
MEM
20
35
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MEM
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
DAL
18
25
72%
MEM
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2681%13.0 / 16
B. Wright1777%8.5 / 11
M. Ellis1439%7.0 / 18
S. Dalembert1464%7.0 / 11
V. Carter1372%6.5 / 9
S. Marion867%4.0 / 6
D. Blair6100%3.0 / 3
J. Calderon528%2.5 / 9
J. Crowder4100%2.0 / 2
D. Harris338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph2563%12.5 / 20
C. Lee2273%11.0 / 15
J. Johnson1765%8.5 / 13
N. Calathes1662%8.0 / 13
M. Gasol1260%6.0 / 10
K. Koufos467%2.0 / 3
T. Prince0-0.0 / 3
J. Leuer0-0.0 / 1
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
D. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
76
+12
-13
88
MEM
75
+9
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.24 61.8%
MEM
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.7
DAL 123.6 +19.2
MEM 104.3
Pace
94.1
89.6
DAL 91.7 +2.4
MEM 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
DAL 15.7 −0.4
MEM 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.4%
DAL 59.0% +1.0%
MEM 58.0%
TO %
13.9%
14.3%
DAL 12.7% −5.1%
MEM 17.8%
ORB %
24.7%
28.3%
DAL 31.4% +6.4%
MEM 25.0%
FTrt
25.3
24.8
DAL 32.1 +0.2
MEM 31.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
57.4%
DAL 57.1%
MEM 64.9% +7.8%
STL %
9.1%
8.5%
DAL 7.9% +0.3%
MEM 7.6%
BLK %
7.4%
7.9%
DAL 5.7%
MEM 10.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
51.3%
DAL 61.8% +4.7%
MEM 57.1%
Rim FG%
60.9%
57.9%
DAL 66.7% +5.6%
MEM 61.1%
Mid FG%
42.4%
40.5%
DAL 46.7%
MEM 57.1% +10.4%
3P %
38.4%
35.3%
DAL 44.4% +6.9%
MEM 37.5%
FT %
79.5%
74.1%
DAL 72.0%
MEM 72.7% +0.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
39.2%
DAL 38.5% +12.4%
MEM 26.1%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
43.8%
DAL 38.5% −12.3%
MEM 50.7%
3P Att. %
27.4%
17.1%
DAL 23.1%
MEM 23.2% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDALMEM
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points11096
Rebounds3532
Assists2424
Steals77
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)24 (2)
Field Goals42-7837-69
At-the-Rim FG20-3011-18
Midrange FG14-3020-35
2-Point FG34-6031-53
3-Point FG8-186-16
Free Throws18-2516-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
39.5
14
39%
6
4
2
1
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
4-13
31%
1-3
33%
F · 7'0" 245 · 36
34.5
26
81%
6
3
2
0
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
7-10
70%
3-4
75%
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
33.4
8
67%
2
1
3
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
31.0
5
28%
1
4
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 255 · 34
23.4
14
64%
10
0
0
0
1
4
6
4
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37
24.1
13
72%
2
7
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26
18.2
17
77%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
5-7
71%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
17.0
3
38%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 24
9.8
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25
9.2
6
100%
2
1
0
2
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
G · 5'11" 175 · 21
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
#33 · G · 6'3" 191 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'7" 195 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
62%
35
24
7
3
13
0
11
24
18-25
72%
34-60
57%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.