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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks
110
10Grizzlies
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
40
33
14
6
4
2
2
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
4-13
5-10
31%
47%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
34
30
26
6
3
2
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
7-10
6-11
70%
49%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
33
29
8
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
31
32
5
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
23
19
14
10
0
0
0
0
1
6
4
2-3
67%
6-10
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
24
23
13
2
7
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
18
20
17
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
5-7
71%
6-8
4-6
75%
59%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
17
19
3
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
10
20
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
9
13
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
11
0
1-2
44%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
5
0
0-1
42%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
1
0
0-0
48%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.9
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.0
41
24
16
5
5
3
1
0
6
2
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
40
35
25
9
4
0
1
1
2
2
7
5-8
63%
10-16
8-16
63%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
40
33
22
5
4
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
8-11
3-7
73%
51%
2-4
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.0
38
34
12
4
5
2
1
0
6
1
3
6-8
75%
3-6
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.9
23
27
0
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.0
25
20
17
1
1
0
1
4
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.7
10
6
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.9
8
10
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.0
8
21
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 23.1
7
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
10
0
2-3
55%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.1
8
1
1-2
49%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.5
3
0
0-1
46%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.