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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons55%10198
29Magic45%100112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
43
36
15
2
10
2
2
0
3
2
0
3-4
75%
3-13
4-10
23%
44%
2-10
20%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.2
41
33
25
12
3
1
1
1
2
1
11
3-9
33%
11-15
6-12
73%
49%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.5
39
25
15
14
1
0
1
2
3
8
6
3-5
60%
6-10
4-7
60%
61%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
32
31
11
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
31
30
12
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
6-11
55%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.8
27
26
14
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.0
13
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.9
9
8
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.1
3
17
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.0
7
0
1-1
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
4
0
0-1
47%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.4
3
0
0-0
44%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
33
32
15
5
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.0
29
14
7
4
11
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
28
26
14
6
0
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.1
26
30
18
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
47%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
19
29
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
3-4
4-9
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.8
28
34
20
4
3
2
2
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
8-9
4-9
89%
47%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
24
20
15
9
0
2
1
1
4
4
5
3-3
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
52%
2-4
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
20
17
8
5
1
2
0
6
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
17
11
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.9
16
15
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
9
0
1-2
51%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
3
0
0-1
46%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.6
3
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.