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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 6, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs47%9789
13Nets53%98103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
35
26
17
8
3
1
1
2
2
1
7
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
3-4
75%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
35
23
18
4
3
4
1
0
2
2
2
7-7
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
34
27
12
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.6
27
13
11
3
2
2
1
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
25
22
5
4
1
0
1
2
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
23
19
16
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.2
20
7
5
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-3
33%
2-7
1-2
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
14
8
1
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
14
13
2
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
12
4
2
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
31
1
6-13
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
24
1
3-5
56%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.5
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.4
31
31
8
5
4
0
1
4
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
30
35
16
4
8
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.6
28
21
8
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.3
23
31
12
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
1-1
100%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.7
18
19
8
9
0
0
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.3
30
24
22
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
7-12
1-3
58%
44%
2-3
67%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
26
7
4
8
6
1
0
0
2
1
7
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.4
22
22
8
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
19
10
10
6
4
3
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23.9
11
13
7
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.9
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.4
13
0
1-1
46%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.7
9
0
1-1
45%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.