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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder
102
29Magic
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.4
40
36
29
5
12
0
1
1
6
0
5
7-7
100%
8-16
8-14
50%
55%
2-6
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
40
32
26
6
1
0
1
5
0
1
5
5-6
83%
9-12
7-12
75%
56%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
33
33
12
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
51%
0-3
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
29
31
8
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
19
21
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
26
19
8
4
4
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
52%
2-2
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.3
16
16
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.5
15
15
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
2-4
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
11
13
0
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
11
19
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.0
2
0
0-0
56%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
37
32
16
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
9-10
90%
2-9
4-9
22%
48%
1-2
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
34
25
18
5
2
2
0
1
1
2
3
6-6
100%
6-16
4-7
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
32
26
10
10
2
0
1
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.0
28
20
9
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
3-7
43%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.1
28
28
14
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
7-8
4-10
88%
44%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
22
21
1
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.8
21
31
14
5
3
2
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
4-9
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
18
18
9
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.9
14
15
6
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
6
6
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
13
0
1-2
42%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
3
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.6
2
0
0-0
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.