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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings46%10189
24Celtics54%10299
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
42
17
11
12
3
1
0
1
0
4
8
7-7
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
48%
0-3
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.5
40
29
31
16
3
0
1
1
4
3
13
9-11
82%
11-19
7-14
58%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
39
35
24
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
49%
3-7
43%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
36
26
6
6
1
0
1
1
1
4
2
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.4
33
10
5
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
21
21
8
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-9
2-4
22%
43%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
12
20
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.4
8
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
8
12
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.2
9
0
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.7
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
40
20
8
12
9
2
1
1
1
3
9
0-2
0%
4-8
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.9
33
33
31
16
0
1
1
1
2
4
12
2-2
100%
13-21
5-11
62%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
33
33
17
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
2-8
25%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.0
22
8
4
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
21
31
2
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-8
5-10
13%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
28
23
19
0
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
4-5
80%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.8
26
12
11
9
5
1
0
0
2
4
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.8
21
11
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
8
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
7
15
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.0
28
1
4-9
49%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
26
1
5-10
48%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.8
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.