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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks
113
22Pistons
102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
37
34
12
1
13
3
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
31
29
10
11
2
1
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
52%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
31
29
24
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
2-7
29%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
29
28
11
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
25
17
12
11
1
0
0
3
2
6
5
0-3
0%
6-9
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
30
22
18
6
5
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-6
83%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
3-6
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
19
19
6
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
16
10
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
14
17
9
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
61%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
10
14
4
3
0
1
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
13
1
1-2
51%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
2
0
0-0
52%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
40
35
17
17
2
0
1
2
2
4
13
3-6
50%
7-13
7-13
54%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.2
38
37
32
3
3
1
1
3
4
0
3
3-4
75%
13-19
7-13
68%
49%
1-1
100%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
34
33
7
5
2
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
29
32
2
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.5
20
32
8
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-6
6-10
50%
61%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.1
32
21
17
4
8
0
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
7-12
3-7
58%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.8
24
24
9
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.0
14
6
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
10
13
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
4
0
0-1
44%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.0
4
0
0-1
51%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
3
0
0-1
47%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
1
0
0-0
49%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.