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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 23, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings42%102109
19Nuggets58%10595
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
42
37
33
3
6
3
1
0
6
0
3
5-6
83%
8-11
6-12
73%
49%
4-5
80%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
38
32
32
11
3
3
1
1
1
3
8
8-9
89%
12-21
6-12
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
36
24
6
4
1
3
1
1
2
2
2
1-1
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.5
34
33
27
9
5
1
2
5
4
1
8
11-12
92%
8-16
7-14
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
16
26
4
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
21
23
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
17
10
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.4
11
21
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
11
15
0
4
0
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
8
4
0
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.2
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.4
2
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
5
0
1-1
44%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.4
34
32
27
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
5-5
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
6-11
55%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.1
32
14
9
2
8
2
0
0
5
2
0
1-2
50%
1-7
1-3
14%
45%
2-5
40%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
30
31
6
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
30
30
10
6
1
1
1
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
5-10
6-10
50%
57%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.5
16
25
1
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-6
17%
0-2
4-8
0%
54%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.3
36
26
27
4
5
1
1
1
3
0
4
7-8
88%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
4-5
80%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.3
25
9
3
5
1
1
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.6
19
23
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-15
3-6
20%
55%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.8
16
7
6
4
0
3
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.6
4
21
0
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
50%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
13
0
2-4
46%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.3
10
0
2-3
51%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.7
5
0
1-1
48%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.5
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.