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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls46%96107
15Hawks54%97103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.4
48
34
22
8
4
0
1
0
2
4
4
6-6
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
4-9
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.0
37
35
20
12
3
3
1
0
1
4
8
2-4
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.3
35
29
10
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
32
29
14
2
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
6-7
86%
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
2-5
40%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.3
28
24
17
11
1
1
1
2
4
1
10
1-2
50%
8-14
5-11
57%
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.3
29
31
10
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
41%
1-8
13%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
27
27
14
8
1
1
1
0
2
4
4
4-4
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.5
5
7
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.4
17
1
2-3
47%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
2
0
0-0
48%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.0
42
32
7
13
3
2
1
2
3
3
10
1-1
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.9
39
31
16
7
3
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
4-9
44%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.7
35
26
26
2
7
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
7-16
4-8
44%
47%
3-4
75%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
34
23
13
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
52%
2-5
40%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.8
27
26
17
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
1-5
20%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.6
33
26
12
7
3
1
0
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
2-5
40%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
26
29
12
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 26.0
2
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
2
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.0
23
1
4-7
49%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.4
7
0
1-2
42%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.9
6
0
1-1
52%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.