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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets
129
21Kings
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
31
38
43
2
8
3
2
0
5
0
2
15-16
94%
5-11
5-10
45%
51%
6-9
67%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
30
37
10
8
4
0
1
0
3
0
8
3-3
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
55%
1-3
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.6
26
31
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.2
25
32
20
11
3
0
1
2
1
1
10
6-10
60%
7-9
7-11
78%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.1
20
22
11
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
5-5
4-7
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
24
8
12
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
23
15
7
8
0
0
0
1
2
1
7
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
22
23
11
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.4
19
19
5
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
54%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
12
12
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.8
8
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.2
7
0
0-1
47%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
4
0
0-1
59%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
38
28
15
1
0
4
1
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
42%
1-7
14%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
34
38
12
3
5
3
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
2-8
6-12
25%
49%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
34
33
25
3
6
2
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
47%
2-3
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.5
20
33
16
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
6-13
7-14
46%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
5
21
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
25
12
6
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
24
6
8
8
1
2
0
0
0
6
2
2-4
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
23
22
10
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.2
13
4
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.4
10
17
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.4
9
11
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
6
13
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.