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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pelicans
89
7Mavericks
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
34
27
19
2
2
1
1
0
5
0
2
2-4
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.2
29
25
17
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
44%
3-5
60%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.4
18
23
4
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.4
15
14
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.0
13
34
6
9
1
0
1
2
0
1
8
0-0
-
3-9
8-15
33%
52%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
27
25
4
6
7
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.8
26
21
14
8
3
0
1
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.7
26
14
10
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
2-4
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
19
21
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
17
21
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-6
17%
1-3
2-6
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.9
11
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.0
7
9
0
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
7
0
1-2
49%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.8
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
34
36
23
4
7
4
2
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
49%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
31
32
10
8
3
3
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
27
30
18
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
26
29
9
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
3-5
60%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
21
21
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
24
17
8
8
1
3
0
3
0
3
5
2-2
100%
3-4
4-6
75%
62%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
22
17
3
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
22
11
12
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
4-5
80%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
22
24
17
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
3
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.