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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons24%97110
4Spurs76%107120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.2
43
37
24
6
5
3
1
1
3
0
6
2-4
50%
8-16
7-14
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.5
40
26
16
17
2
2
1
2
0
6
11
2-2
100%
7-12
5-8
58%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
34
36
15
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
47%
1-1
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.7
31
36
12
5
1
3
1
1
0
2
3
6-6
100%
3-11
7-14
27%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
13
32
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-8
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
31
24
17
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
6-12
4-10
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.1
31
21
18
1
9
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
9-18
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.0
11
7
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
3
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
1
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-1
100%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
3
0
0-1
45%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.0
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
30
13
13
7
6
0
0
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
6-11
2-3
55%
57%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
29
14
15
6
4
2
1
2
2
1
5
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
59%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
27
21
13
9
1
2
0
1
2
2
7
3-3
100%
5-12
5-9
42%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
22
32
8
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
13
25
10
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
28
17
16
1
9
3
1
1
4
0
1
3-3
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
27
28
20
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
4-4
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
26
26
12
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
57%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
21
25
11
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
12
13
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
2
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
2
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.