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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns53%10386
24Jazz47%102109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
35.6
23.7
13
39%
8
5
2
1
0
0
0
8
3-4
75%
5-15
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.1
31.8
30.3
17
51%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
29.4
29.8
7
44%
3
2
0
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.5
24.6
19.3
6
38%
7
0
1
1
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
51%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.8
20.9
31.9
3
38%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.5
27.0
10.4
16
61%
7
1
2
0
1
2
2
5
3-7
43%
5-8
1-3
63%
49%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
23.4
31.0
11
47%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
5-6
83%
3-7
5-11
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.4
18.7
1.7
7
72%
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
17.8
22.0
5
32%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
1-1
100%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.7
10.7
3.7
1
28%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-4
25%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
30.6
1
5-9
53%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.2
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 26.5
1.2
0
0-0
54%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.2
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.9
37.3
31.7
17
56%
10
9
0
1
0
2
0
10
2-5
40%
6-10
4-8
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.3
27.6
32.7
10
83%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.6
26.1
25.5
15
71%
7
2
1
1
2
2
2
5
5-8
63%
5-7
4-9
71%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.7
24.9
27.7
17
87%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-3
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.7
22.1
23.1
2
20%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.6
27.5
28.3
15
74%
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
5-5
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.3
25.9
19.6
11
70%
8
0
1
1
1
4
2
6
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
56%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
21.0
14.1
15
83%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
3-4
75%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
15.6
29.5
2
20%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
7-12
20%
53%
0-0
-
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
6.3
8.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.3
5.7
3.6
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.9
2.1
0
0-0
56%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.3
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.