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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats24%9482
4Spurs76%10392
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.1
35
31
20
7
1
2
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
10-21
9-18
48%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.8
35
38
11
2
4
1
2
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-13
5-11
15%
44%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
31
29
12
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.0
30
30
4
4
10
3
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-4
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.4
22
23
0
8
2
2
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
23
7
15
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-10
1-2
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
19
22
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
18
16
10
8
2
2
0
0
0
2
6
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.0
13
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.5
13
14
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.9
10
0
1-3
41%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
7
0
0-1
45%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
7
0
1-1
42%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.8
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
33
25
17
16
6
1
1
1
4
2
14
5-5
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
30
20
12
8
1
3
1
2
3
0
8
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
58%
2-4
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
27
25
10
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
14
23
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-6
25%
56%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
7
18
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
31
27
14
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
30
26
4
6
7
0
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-6
40%
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
29
22
14
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
26
23
15
0
5
0
1
2
3
0
0
1-1
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
52%
2-6
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
5
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
5
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
2
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
2
0
0-0
44%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.