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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Magic
98
2Heat
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
34
28
14
4
1
3
1
0
3
0
4
3-5
60%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.1
31
33
3
1
11
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
44%
1-6
17%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
28
30
20
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
7-7
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
49%
1-2
50%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.8
26
32
10
0
1
0
2
0
2
0
0
6-10
60%
2-4
4-10
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.4
23
31
18
10
0
2
1
0
0
6
4
0-0
-
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.0
34
20
10
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
22
18
14
15
2
2
0
1
2
6
9
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
20
14
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
14
16
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Adonis Thomas
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 20.9
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.6
3
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
3
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.7
2
0
0-0
37%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
31
35
20
9
7
4
2
0
2
1
8
4-5
80%
8-10
8-13
80%
61%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.1
30
29
24
3
4
1
1
1
3
2
1
4-5
80%
10-14
6-12
71%
55%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
26
26
7
2
3
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
19
30
5
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.9
18
28
17
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
55%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
27
24
9
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.6
24
22
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
22
12
8
4
1
0
0
3
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.6
19
19
5
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
64%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.1
13
9
8
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
5
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.4
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.