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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets60%100107
29Bucks40%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
37.4
28.5
15
47%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
50%
3-6
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.5
32.4
18.7
14
64%
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.4
27.8
24.4
12
60%
8
5
3
1
0
1
0
8
5-7
71%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.7
26.5
27.8
7
35%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.0
10.5
15.4
5
64%
7
1
0
1
0
0
4
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
29.7
18.2
19
60%
13
2
3
1
1
0
6
7
9-9
100%
5-12
4-7
42%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
26.2
16.2
7
49%
2
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-5
20%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.7
23.8
17.5
25
80%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
4-7
57%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.5
10.6
22.5
3
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.2
7.8
7.8
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
7.4
16.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.0
12.9
0
1-3
44%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
12.5
0
2-4
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.6
36.1
22.9
16
67%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
8-11
3-5
73%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.2
31.6
26.9
14
52%
1
5
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
22.3
26.9
11
49%
11
1
0
1
0
1
3
8
4-5
80%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.8
19.2
19.6
7
58%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.1
14.9
23.0
2
20%
5
0
0
1
1
3
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.2
27.5
23.6
12
55%
3
3
3
1
1
2
1
2
5-9
56%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-2
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.2
26.3
23.6
6
51%
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
23.1
23.2
9
60%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
22.8
24.2
16
81%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
11-11
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
1-1
100%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.1
16.1
16.4
5
43%
10
0
1
0
1
2
3
7
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
2.8
0
0-1
53%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.5
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.